Wed. May 1st, 2024

EUR/USD RETREATS TO 1.0645 LOWS FOLLOWING DOVISH COMMENTS FROM ECB MEMBERS

EUR/USD DIVES TO FRESH FIVE-MONTH LOWS NEAR 1.0600EUR/USD DIVES TO FRESH FIVE-MONTH LOWS NEAR 1.0600

The EUR/USD remains vulnerable, dangerously close to the mid-term low at 1.0600.

  • Euro recovery fails ahead of 1.0700 and ECB policymakers point to a June rate cut.
  • In the US, strong employment levels and some hawkish comments by Fed’s Williams have provided a fresh boost to the USD.

The Euro recovery has been capped a few pips shy of the 1.0700 area, and the pair pulled lower on Thursday, to hit intra-day lows at 1.0645. The dovish comments by ECB policymakers and strong US data endorsing the Fed’s “higher for longer” outlook have weighed the common currency.

Earlier today ECB’s Vice-President Francoise Villeroy, affirmed that, barring a major surprise the bank will cut rates in June. These words have been echoed by the Governor of the Austrian central bank and notorious hawk, Robert Holzmann.

US data confirms the strong economic outlook

In the US, macroeconomic data has endorsed the picture of a strong economy with a tight labour market. Jobless claims remain steady at relatively low levels while a manufacturing activity gauge has reached its best reading in two years.

Beyond that, the New York Fed President, John Williams has reiterated that there is not an urgency to lower interest rates, which has sent US yields and the US Dollar up from intra-day lows.

The near-term bias remains neutral, with the pair unable to put a significant distance from five-month lows. 1.0700 is the immediate resistance, followed by 1.0730 and 1.0755. Support levels are 1.0605 and 1.0553.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0656
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open1.0673
Trends
Daily SMA201.0776
Daily SMA501.0816
Daily SMA1001.0857
Daily SMA2001.0824
Levels
Previous Daily High1.068
Previous Daily Low1.0606
Previous Weekly High1.0885
Previous Weekly Low1.0622
Previous Monthly High1.0981
Previous Monthly Low1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0634
Daily Pivot Point S11.0626
Daily Pivot Point S21.0579
Daily Pivot Point S31.0552
Daily Pivot Point R11.07
Daily Pivot Point R21.0727
Daily Pivot Point R31.0773

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